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  • Writer's pictureAmit Kukreja

Palantir’s Q2 Results: Average Earnings, Massive Potential

This article was edited by Andrew Salamon, head of content at Daily Palantir. You can follow him on twitter/x here

Unmasking Palantir’s Quarter

The buzz surrounding Palantir’s recent financial results is palpable, as stakeholders and analysts dissect Palantir's Q2 earnings announcement. Despite not setting the stage alight like Nvidia, Palantir didn’t give investors reason to question their choices either. The company, having exhibited an impressive 183% stock growth over the past three months, continues to show stability even if it hasn’t dazzled with extraordinary revenue gains.

Expectations vs Reality

Many within the financial community had predicted a volatile response to Palantir's earnings. Forecasts ranged from a 14% decline to a potential increase, based on past performances. Many believed that any performance short of exceptional would lead to a drastic drop in valuation. Yet, in the aftermath, while there was an initial 10% dip, Palantir's stock quickly rebounded, maintaining its position in the green, just 5% below its previous closing. The day after, the stock did suffer, dropping over 10%.

Revenue Analysis

Digging into the financials, Palantir’s revenue, which touched $533 million, slightly surpassed their guided range of $528-$532 million. This may seem marginal, but in a competitive market, even a $1 million beat is significant. Notably, this translates to a 13% YoY growth. However, this isn’t the 30% growth that stakeholders were promised earlier, hinting at potential changes or challenges in the pipeline.

Customer Growth

Perhaps the most intriguing piece of the earnings puzzle was Palantir's customer growth. Over the past year, the rate of customer acquisition had been tapering off. This quarter's 8% growth, indicating a boost in customer count to 421 from 390, is a promising sign, showcasing the company's ability to draw in new contracts.

The AI Goldmine:

The crown jewel in Palantir's arsenal is AIP (Artificial Intelligence Platform). As AI enterprise spending is projected to soar to a staggering $4.4 trillion by 2032, the real question is how much of this market Palantir can capture. With already 100 organizations piloting AIP and an additional 300 enterprises discussing potential implementation, the stage is set for massive growth.

While AIP's adoption rates are impressive, the fact that Palantir hasn't monetized this product yet is both curious and compelling. CEO Alex Karp assures that a monetization strategy will be put in place once a substantial market capture is achieved. This could translate to anywhere between hundreds of millions to billions in additional annual recurring revenue (ARR), given the potential value of each AIP contract.

Share BuyBacks: A Dual Strategy

Companies in the tech space and beyond have increasingly been employing sophisticated financial engineering techniques to remain agile in the face of fluctuating market conditions. In the case of Palantir, this recent financial engineering has taken on multiple forms, reflecting a company that is trying to meet both Wall Street's expectations and its own strategic goals.

The announcement of Palantir's intent for $1B worth of share buybacks is both a signal of confidence and a safety net for the company's stock. By offering to buy back a certain amount of shares, companies can indirectly increase earnings per share, thereby making the stock more attractive.

Additionally, buybacks can be viewed as a tool to hedge against the stock falling too drastically. Notably, the practice is not unique to Palantir; tech giants like Google, Apple, and Amazon have employed similar strategies to protect their share prices and create artificial floors.

Some investors were upset by the buyback, arguing that they should have bought back shares at lower prices and or not bought back shares to begin with. People are questioning Palantir’s ability to use their cash register to create more revenue and scale existing products, as they are instead using a portion of the cash to buyback shares.

Investing in T-Bills: A Safer Bet

Palantir's decision to park some of its cash in T-bills not only ensures a certain level of interest income but also projects an image of financial prudence. In volatile economic climates, having such fixed income assets can support overall profitability, especially for companies whose profitability timelines might be pushed out. Furthermore, being Gap profitable can enhance a company's attractiveness to institutional investors, thus broadening its shareholder base.

Looking Ahead

Palantir’s recent performance, while not spectacular, holds promise. Their customer growth trajectory and potential with AIP demonstrate that while they may be playing a long game, the payoff could be significant. As the AI market expands and Palantir continues to strengthen its foothold, stakeholders might just see the fireworks they’re hoping for in the coming quarters.

The investment world is always full of uncertainties. But in the case of Palantir, it’s not about the immediate, but the imminent. The company's future seems poised for growth, and while the present might appear average, it’s essential to see the bigger picture and potential trajectory. It's this potential that keeps Palantir in the spotlight as one of the world's most exciting companies.

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