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  • Writer's pictureAmit Kukreja

The Importance of Critical Companies: Why Palantir and SpaceX Will Never Be Allowed to Fail

In the world of investing, risk is an ever-present factor. It is a fact that investors must always be aware of, as it can determine whether their investments will be profitable or not. Risk can come in many forms, from market volatility to company-specific challenges. It is therefore important to evaluate the risks of investing in a particular company before taking a position.

One investor, who has chosen to go all-in on Palantir, has recently discussed the risks associated with investing in the company. He points out that there are two types of risks: execution risk and stock price risk. Execution risk is the risk that a company will not be able to deliver on its promises, while stock price risk is the risk that the stock price will decline. He notes that at Palantir's current market cap, there is very little opportunity to lose money.

Palantir is a company that specializes in data analytics and has a wide range of clients across several industries, including oil and gas, healthcare, renewable energy, and government. It is a company that has been in existence for 15 years, and its software is considered to be among the most advanced in the industry. The company has a large total addressable market, and its clients are said to love its products.

However, the investor also notes that Palantir's growth rate has declined from nearly 90% to 20%, which has caused some concern among investors. He attributes this decline to the fact that Palantir's growth potential was overestimated. Nevertheless, he believes that Palantir is currently fairly valued, and there is very little opportunity to lose money at its current price.

The investor also notes that Palantir is a critical company that will never be allowed to fail. He compares it to SpaceX, another critical company that is essential to the US government. He believes that the US government will always protect companies like Palantir and SpaceX because they are critical to the country's stability.

The investor points out that companies like Palantir and SpaceX are unique because of the barriers to entry in their industries. Unlike the software or e-commerce industries, companies like Palantir and SpaceX require physical engineering, which is much more difficult and expensive to achieve. This, he says, makes it much harder for competitors to enter the market and reduces the risk of these companies failing.

One of the reasons why government-backed businesses like Palantir will have a hard time going out of business is because they are considered critical infrastructure. These businesses provide essential services to the government and military, and the government will go to great lengths to ensure their continued operation. In the case of Palantir, the government relies on their software to support critical missions, including tracking terrorist networks and investigating financial fraud.

Moreover, government-backed businesses often receive significant funding from the government. This funding can come in the form of contracts, grants, or loans, which help these businesses to grow and expand. In Palantir's case, they have received numerous contracts from the U.S. government, which have helped to drive their growth and success.

Another factor that makes it hard for government-backed businesses like Palantir to go out of business is that they often have a strong network of political and industry connections. These connections can help them to navigate complex regulatory environments and access resources that other businesses may not have access to. In Palantir's case, their close ties to the government have helped them to secure contracts and partnerships that have been critical to their success.

Finally, government-backed businesses often have access to unique technology and expertise that is not available to other businesses. This technology and expertise can give them a competitive advantage that is hard to replicate. In Palantir's case, their expertise in data analytics and their proprietary software has helped them to become a leader in their industry. This expertise is hard to replicate and gives Palantir a significant advantage over their competitors. Government-backed businesses like Palantir are considered critical infrastructure and receive significant funding from the government. They also have strong political and industry connections and access to unique technology and expertise. These factors make it hard for these businesses to go out of business, ensuring their long-term stability and success.

In conclusion, the investor's decision to go all-in on Palantir is based on his belief that the company is fairly valued and has very little opportunity to lose money. He believes that Palantir is a critical company that will never be allowed to fail, and he compares it to SpaceX, another critical company that is essential to the US government. He notes that the barriers to entry in the industries in which these companies operate are high, which reduces the risk of them failing. Investors must always be aware of the risks associated with their investments, but in the case of critical companies like Palantir and SpaceX, the potential rewards may be worth the risk.

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